Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.32
Edge
-1.5%Last 20
30%6/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.30
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
31%
21/68
Avg0.39
StreakW3
Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 25.7% | 91.6 | .255 | .275 | 21.0% |
| Changeup | 21.0% | 86.7 | .100 | .100 | 28.0% |
| Sinker | 16.5% | 90.4 | .238 | .262 | 8.3% |
| Cutter | 11.3% | 86.8 | .211 | .368 | 3.2% |
| Curveball | 11.2% | 77.9 | .167 | .167 | 35.7% |
| Sweeper | 10.2% | 81.4 | .200 | .350 | 25.0% |
| Slider | 4.1% | 83.4 | .231 | .308 | 24.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Joey Ortiz clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Brice Turang o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 65% · n=110 · -225 DraftKings
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 70% · n=96 · -262 DraftKings
Sal Frelick o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 62% · n=106 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
William Contreras o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 65% · base 61% · n=115 · -137 Betr Picks
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +243 | -238 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs STL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Gary Sánchez MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cooper Pratt MIL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Andrew Vaughn MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis Lara MIL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brice Turang MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Sal Frelick MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Bauers MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Yelich MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| William Contreras MIL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS