Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Joey Ortiz

Milwaukee Brewers · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.81
Edge
+2.2%
Trending splitsvs LHP 55%(29)
Last 20
40%8/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.65
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
44%
17/39
Avg0.71
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: Michael McGreevy (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
25.7%
91.6.255.27521.0%
Changeup
21.0%
86.7.100.10028.0%
Sinker
16.5%
90.4.238.2628.3%
Cutter
11.3%
86.8.211.3683.2%
Curveball
11.2%
77.9.167.16735.7%
Sweeper
10.2%
81.4.200.35025.0%
Slider
4.1%
83.4.231.30824.1%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Joey Ortiz clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

William Contreras o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 65% · n=181 · -251 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ MIN05/170@ CHC05/200vs LAD05/231vs LAD05/240@ HOU05/300@ HOU05/311vs SF06/010vs SF06/040@ COL06/051@ COL06/060@ OAK06/100vs PHI06/130@ CIN06/222vs CIN06/300vs CIN07/020@ AZ07/032@ AZ07/040@ STL07/062@ STL07/073@ STL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-132+100
dabble_us_dfs0.5-127+127

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs STL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Christian Yelich MIL07/073
Cooper Pratt MIL07/072
Garrett Mitchell MIL07/072
Jake Bauers MIL07/072
Brice Turang MIL07/072
Gary Sánchez MIL07/071
Andrew Vaughn MIL07/071
Luis Lara MIL07/071
Sal Frelick MIL07/070
Jake Bauers MIL07/070
Christian Yelich MIL07/070
Jackson Chourio MIL07/070
Brice Turang MIL07/070
Sal Frelick MIL07/070

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.263.278.250.267.370.143.571.238.000
Exit Velo
77.6993.8990.9285.1993.2287.3889.5090.9579.49
AVG
.278.278.250.308.385.143.400.238.000
sluggingPercentage
.278.500.333.538.423.143.600.429.000
OPS
.526.778.583.733.778.2861.000.667.000