Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.83
Edge
-9.8%Last 20
55%11/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
55%
22/40
Avg0.89
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 32.7% | 90.4 | .262 | .286 | 27.8% |
| Sinker | 31.6% | 97.5 | .313 | .375 | 15.2% |
| Four-seam FB | 19.9% | 97.4 | .265 | .441 | 20.4% |
| Sweeper | 15.8% | 86.2 | .200 | .533 | 33.3% |
| Fastball | 0.1% | 84.7 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Brandon Nimmo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Elias Díaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 64% · n=12 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Elias Díaz o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 75% · base 64% · n=12 · -105 dabble_us_dfs
Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 64% · n=49 · -145 dabble_us_dfs
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 62% · n=21 · +120 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs LAA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo