Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.29
Edge
-6.3%Last 20
26%5/19 over 3 · 1 push
Window avg
1.70
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
26%
5/19
2026
16%
13/80
Avg1.58
StreakL8
Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 32.7% | 90.4 | .262 | .286 | 27.8% |
| Sinker | 31.6% | 97.5 | .313 | .375 | 15.2% |
| Four-seam FB | 19.9% | 97.4 | .265 | .441 | 20.4% |
| Sweeper | 15.8% | 86.2 | .200 | .533 | 33.3% |
| Fastball | 0.1% | 84.7 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Brandon Nimmo clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 57% · n=18 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
Evan Carter o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 43% · n=28 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Evan Carter o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 64% · base 43% · n=28 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 3
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +124 | -165 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +125 | -165 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +138 | -137 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfs
League vs LAA — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo