Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.83
Edge
-9.8%Last 20
15%3/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
23%
9/40
Avg0.89
StreakL4
Parlay pairs — when Brandon Nimmo clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Elias Díaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 64% · n=12 · -130 DraftKings
Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 64% · n=49 · -216 DraftKings
Nicky Lopez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 62% · n=21 · -158 DraftKings
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 61% · base 57% · n=33 · -161 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 1.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
onBasePercentage
AVG
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo