Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.29
Edge
-6.3%Last 20
25%5/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
31%
11/35
Avg1.53
StreakL3
Parlay pairs — when Brandon Nimmo clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 57% · n=18 · -161 DraftKings
Evan Carter o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 43% · n=28 · -147 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs LAA — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Elias Díaz TEX | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
onBasePercentage
AVG
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo