Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Brandon Nimmo

Texas Rangers · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.29
Edge
-6.3%
Last 20
40%8/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.60
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
39%
7/18
Avg1.45
StreakW1

Parlay pairs — when Brandon Nimmo clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 57% · n=18 · -161 DraftKings
Evan Carter o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 43% · n=28 · -147 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
1@ CHC09/243@ CHC09/250@ PHI03/265@ PHI03/292@ BAL04/012@ OAK04/141@ OAK04/160vs OAK04/251vs NYY04/271@ DET05/030@ COL05/186@ COL05/191@ COL05/200@ LAA05/240vs CLE06/052vs CLE06/070@ BOS06/134@ BOS06/141vs SD06/212@ TOR06/261.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+124-165
Bovada1.5+125-165

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs LAA Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Alejandro Osuna TEX07/074
Elias Díaz TEX07/072
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Jarren Duran BOS07/055
Willson Contreras BOS07/054
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.286.682.500.710.9771.103.483.898.600
onBasePercentage
.214.318.250.290.349.414.241.306.240
AVG
.083.318.250.290.366.414.241.306.208
sluggingPercentage
.083.364.250.419.659.690.241.592.375
Exit Velo
95.8796.4486.0896.5096.5793.9391.1796.8495.75