Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.15
Edge
+3.7%All 31 games
16%5/31 over 0.5
Window avg
0.16
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
22%
2/9
Avg0.16
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Roki Sasaki (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 43.2% | 97.5 | .144 | .247 | 28.8% |
| Splitter | 24.3% | 90.2 | .000 | .000 | 38.9% |
| Slider | 21.9% | 86.6 | .298 | .489 | 33.1% |
| Forkball | 10.6% | 85.2 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Ezequiel Tovar clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Kyle Karros o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 55% · n=9 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — all 31 games vs 0.5
vs LAD only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +909 | -833 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAD — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 0/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jake McCarthy COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Mickey Moniak COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Rumfield COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willi Castro COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Karros COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Braxton Fulford COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Troy Johnston COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| TJ Rumfield COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake McCarthy COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cole Carrigg COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Freeman COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Hunter Goodman COL | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
OPS
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage