Luke Raley

Seattle Mariners · PH · Bats L

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.11

Edge

—

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last2026

Trending splits

Last 92

11%10/92 over 0.5

Window avg

0.11

Median

0.0

0/5

L10

0/10

L20

1/20

2026

1/25

Avg0.11

StreakL13

Home Runs — last 92 vs 0.5

official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Luke Raley clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Cole Young o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 67% · base 61% · n=15 · -165 DraftKings

Victor Robles o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 64% · base 59% · n=14 · -173 DraftKings

J.P. Crawford o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 64% · base 60% · n=25 · -206 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

0.5

• = main line. Alt ladders load in the hour before first pitch.

Book	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Caesars	+400	—

Home Runs · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Caesars

Time	Book	Move
2:00 AM ET	Caesars	0.5 → 1.5

League vs TB — Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ben Rice NYY	07/09	2	✓
Austin Wells NYY	07/09	1

Raley's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .455 middle-middle · Weakness: .143 middle-and-away

AVG

sluggingPercentage

OPS

Exit Velo

onBasePercentage