Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Luke Raley

Seattle Mariners · PH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.51
Edge
-20.3%
Trending splitsvs LHP 13%(15)
Last 281
46%130/281 over 0.5
Window avg
0.66
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
45%
34/76
Avg0.66
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Luke Raley clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

J.P. Crawford o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 60% · n=91 · -193 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 281 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ KC05/242@ OAK05/250@ OAK05/260@ OAK05/272vs AZ05/292vs AZ05/301vs AZ05/310vs NYM06/010vs NYM06/020vs NYM06/030@ DET06/050@ DET06/062@ DET06/070@ BAL06/080@ BAL06/101@ BAL06/111@ WSH06/120@ WSH06/130@ WSH06/140vs BOS06/201@ PIT06/230@ PIT06/241@ PIT06/251@ CLE06/260@ CLE06/270vs LAA07/020vs TOR07/030vs TOR07/041vs TOR07/051@ MIA07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-182+136

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Cal Raleigh SEA07/072
Randy Arozarena SEA07/072
J.P. Crawford SEA07/071
Cole Young SEA07/071
Josh Naylor SEA07/071
Colt Emerson SEA07/070
Victor Robles SEA07/070
Dominic Canzone SEA07/070
Jonah Heim OAK07/052
Carlos Cortes OAK07/051
Brian Serven OAK07/051
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/051
Zack Gelof OAK07/051
Lawrence Butler OAK07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
102.6887.4573.9491.3094.1089.3887.2892.5395.88
sluggingPercentage
.813.600.375.3571.095.333.222.783.684
AVG
.375.350.375.143.429.190.167.348.211
OPS
1.176.950.667.5001.455.524.3891.130.895
onBasePercentage
.412.350.333.143.409.190.167.348.211