Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Luke Raley

Seattle Mariners · PH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.51
Edge
-20.3%
Trending splitsvs LHP 0%(13)
All 281 games
23%44/195 over 1 · 86 push
Window avg
0.66
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/3
L10
0%
0/5
L20
8%
1/13
2026
22%
12/54
Avg0.66
Streak

Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
25.2%
95.8.227.40926.9%
Sweeper
24.1%
84.2.188.43862.1%
Splitter
24.0%
87.4.000.00052.0%
Curveball
16.5%
83.6.133.33339.0%
Four-seam FB
9.1%
96.3.274.60334.8%
Slider
1.1%
88.7.217.34847.4%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Luke Raley clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

J.P. Crawford o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 60% · n=91 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=115 · -169 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 281 games vs 1

official box scores
0@ KC05/242@ OAK05/250@ OAK05/260@ OAK05/272vs AZ05/292vs AZ05/301vs AZ05/310vs NYM06/010vs NYM06/020vs NYM06/030@ DET06/050@ DET06/062@ DET06/070@ BAL06/080@ BAL06/101@ BAL06/111@ WSH06/120@ WSH06/130@ WSH06/140vs BOS06/201@ PIT06/230@ PIT06/241@ PIT06/251@ CLE06/260@ CLE06/270vs LAA07/020vs TOR07/030vs TOR07/041vs TOR07/051@ MIA07/071

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-182+136
dabble_us_dfs0.5-132+132

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs MIA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Randy Arozarena SEA07/072
Cal Raleigh SEA07/072
J.P. Crawford SEA07/071
Josh Naylor SEA07/071
Cole Young SEA07/071
Colt Emerson SEA07/070
Victor Robles SEA07/070
Dominic Canzone SEA07/070
Jonah Heim OAK07/052
Lawrence Butler OAK07/051
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/051
Zack Gelof OAK07/051
Brian Serven OAK07/051
Carlos Cortes OAK07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.412.350.333.143.391.190.158.375.211
Exit Velo
102.6887.4573.9491.3094.1189.3886.4692.6595.88
AVG
.375.350.375.143.429.190.158.375.211
sluggingPercentage
.813.600.375.3571.095.333.211.833.684
OPS
1.176.950.667.5001.391.524.3681.208.895