Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.24
Edge
-17.9%Last 20
15%3/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.15
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
30%
18/61
Avg0.44
StreakL8
Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 25.2% | 95.8 | .227 | .409 | 26.9% |
| Sweeper | 24.1% | 84.2 | .188 | .438 | 62.1% |
| Splitter | 24.0% | 87.4 | .000 | .000 | 52.0% |
| Curveball | 16.5% | 83.6 | .133 | .333 | 39.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 9.1% | 96.3 | .274 | .603 | 34.8% |
| Slider | 1.1% | 88.7 | .217 | .348 | 47.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Luke Raley clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Cole Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 62% · n=28 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 66% · base 43% · n=56 · +106 dabble_us_dfs
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 60% · n=61 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +157 | -156 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs MIA — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Josh Naylor SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cal Raleigh SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| J.P. Crawford SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cole Young SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Randy Arozarena SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Robles SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dominic Canzone SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colt Emerson SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Lawrence Butler OAK | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Max Muncy OAK | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Carlos Cortes OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS