Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.51
Edge
-20.3%Last 10
40%4/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
52%
32/61
Avg0.77
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 25.2% | 95.8 | .227 | .409 | 26.9% |
| Sweeper | 24.1% | 84.2 | .188 | .438 | 62.1% |
| Splitter | 24.0% | 87.4 | .000 | .000 | 52.0% |
| Curveball | 16.5% | 83.6 | .133 | .333 | 39.0% |
| Four-seam FB | 9.1% | 96.3 | .274 | .603 | 34.8% |
| Slider | 1.1% | 88.7 | .217 | .348 | 47.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Luke Raley clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 60% · n=91 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 57% · n=115 · -169 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 10 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs MIA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Randy Arozarena SEA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cal Raleigh SEA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| J.P. Crawford SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Naylor SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cole Young SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Robles SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dominic Canzone SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colt Emerson SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Lawrence Butler OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brian Serven OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Carlos Cortes OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS