Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

José Caballero

New York Yankees · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
+0.2%
Last 20
55%11/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.70
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
56%
43/77
Avg0.74
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.9%
95.6.205.28933.5%
Changeup
28.8%
87.0.148.29628.3%
Slider
20.0%
88.3.270.48633.3%
Curveball
14.3%
82.1.350.50025.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when José Caballero clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Amed Rosario o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=65 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=60 · -119 DraftKings
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=60 · -123 BetOnline
Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 62% · n=49 · -222 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1@ TOR06/142vs CWS06/161vs CWS06/171vs CWS06/180vs CIN06/201vs CIN06/210@ DET06/221@ DET06/230@ DET06/242@ BOS06/250@ BOS06/260@ BOS06/271@ BOS06/280vs DET06/290vs DET06/301vs DET07/011vs MIN07/030vs MIN07/052@ TB07/060@ TB07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-123-108
BetOnline0.5-135+104

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs TB Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ben Rice NYY07/073
Ali Sánchez NYY07/072
Max Schuemann NYY07/071
Cody Bellinger NYY07/071
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/071
Trent Grisham NYY07/071
Amed Rosario NYY07/070
Paul Goldschmidt NYY07/070
Ben Rice NYY07/061
Cody Bellinger NYY07/060
Ryan McMahon NYY07/060
Paul Goldschmidt NYY07/060
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/060
Jasson Domínguez NYY07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.294.250.235.450.450.143.429.250.250
sluggingPercentage
.471.542.412.800.750.190.857.474.267
AVG
.294.250.235.450.450.143.429.263.267
OPS
.765.792.6471.2501.200.3331.286.700.500
Exit Velo
78.4189.4593.7373.6687.3686.7693.7685.1482.06