Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

José Caballero

New York Yankees · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
+0.2%
All 105 games
57%60/105 over 0.5
Window avg
0.75
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
55%
17/31
Avg0.75
StreakL4

Tonight's matchup: Shane McClanahan (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.9%
95.6.205.28933.5%
Changeup
28.8%
87.0.148.29628.3%
Slider
20.0%
88.3.270.48633.3%
Curveball
14.3%
82.1.350.50025.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when José Caballero clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Amed Rosario o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=65 · -172 dabble_us_dfs
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=60 · -119 DraftKings
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 67% · base 56% · n=60 · -123 BetOnline
Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 65% · base 62% · n=49 · -222 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 105 games vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs OAK04/090@ TB04/102vs LAA04/130vs LAA04/143vs LAA04/162vs KC04/181vs KC04/191@ BOS04/211@ BOS04/222@ BOS04/231vs BAL05/010vs TEX05/070@ MIL05/090@ KC05/261@ KC05/271@ OAK05/310vs CLE06/021vs BOS06/072@ CLE06/101@ TOR06/141vs CWS06/171vs CWS06/180vs CIN06/200@ DET06/220@ DET06/242@ BOS06/250@ BOS06/260@ BOS06/270vs DET06/300@ TB07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-123-108
BetOnline0.5-135+104

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs TB Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Ben Rice NYY07/073
Ali Sánchez NYY07/072
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/071
Cody Bellinger NYY07/071
Max Schuemann NYY07/071
Trent Grisham NYY07/071
Amed Rosario NYY07/070
Paul Goldschmidt NYY07/070
Ben Rice NYY07/061
Paul Goldschmidt NYY07/060
Cody Bellinger NYY07/060
Jasson Domínguez NYY07/060
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY07/060
Trent Grisham NYY07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.294.250.235.450.450.143.429.250.250
sluggingPercentage
.471.542.412.800.750.190.857.474.267
AVG
.294.250.235.450.450.143.429.263.267
OPS
.765.792.6471.2501.200.3331.286.700.500
Exit Velo
78.4189.4593.7373.6687.3686.7693.7685.1482.06