Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Elias Díaz

Texas Rangers · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.38
Edge
+4.1%
Last 10
20%2/10 over 0.5
Window avg
0.30
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
31%
8/26
Avg0.33
StreakL3

Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Changeup
32.7%
90.4.188.43823.1%
Sinker
31.6%
97.5.167.41715.6%
Four-seam FB
19.9%
97.4.267.40028.0%
Sweeper
15.8%
86.2
Fastball
0.1%
84.7

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Runs Scoredlast 10 vs 0.5

official box scores
0@ MIA06/220@ MIA06/240@ TOR06/270@ TOR06/280@ CLE06/301@ CLE07/012vs DET07/020vs DET07/040vs DET07/050vs LAA07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+263-256

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs LAA Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Alejandro Osuna TEX07/072
Evan Carter TEX07/071
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Jake Burger TEX07/071
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Nicky Lopez TEX07/070
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051
Jarren Duran BOS07/051
Caleb Durbin BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051
Wilyer Abreu BOS07/051
Willson Contreras BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.333.0002.000.333.636.7692.000.111.625
Exit Velo
59.55-94.7882.1089.0991.4495.5495.7892.68
AVG
.333.000.500.333.273.462.500.111.500
onBasePercentage
.333.000.500.333.273.429.500.111.500
OPS
.667.0002.500.667.9091.1432.500.2221.125