Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.14
Edge
+5.3%Last 20
20%4/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.20
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
18%
2/11
Avg0.12
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 32.7% | 90.4 | .188 | .438 | 23.1% |
| Sinker | 31.6% | 97.5 | .167 | .417 | 15.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 19.9% | 97.4 | .267 | .400 | 28.0% |
| Sweeper | 15.8% | 86.2 | — | — | — |
| Fastball | 0.1% | 84.7 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +1143 | -1111 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAA — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Wilyer Abreu BOS | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Caleb Durbin BOS | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS