Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.75
Edge
-0.2%Last 20
55%11/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
88%
7/8
Avg0.84
StreakW3
Parlay pairs — when Elias Díaz clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 93% · base 80% · n=14 · -216 DraftKings
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 62% · n=9 · -161 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 55% · n=14 · -239 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
away only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs LAA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
AVG
OPS
onBasePercentage