Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.32
Edge
+17.9%Last 20
15%3/20 over 2.5
Window avg
1.60
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
19%
5/26
Avg1.17
StreakL3
Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 32.7% | 90.4 | .188 | .438 | 23.1% |
| Sinker | 31.6% | 97.5 | .167 | .417 | 15.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 19.9% | 97.4 | .267 | .400 | 28.0% |
| Sweeper | 15.8% | 86.2 | — | — | — |
| Fastball | 0.1% | 84.7 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Elias Díaz clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 93% · base 80% · n=14 · -216 DraftKings
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 62% · n=9 · -161 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 55% · n=14 · -239 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 2.5
official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
PrizePicksBetr Picks
League vs LAA — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS