Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.32
Edge
+17.9%Last 5
50%2/4 over 2 · 1 push
Window avg
2.60
Median
2.0
L5
50%
2/4
L10
29%
2/7
L20
21%
3/14
2026
26%
5/19
Avg1.17
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup | 32.7% | 90.4 | .188 | .438 | 23.1% |
| Sinker | 31.6% | 97.5 | .167 | .417 | 15.6% |
| Four-seam FB | 19.9% | 97.4 | .267 | .400 | 28.0% |
| Sweeper | 15.8% | 86.2 | — | — | — |
| Fastball | 0.1% | 84.7 | — | — | — |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Elias Díaz clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 93% · base 80% · n=14 · -145 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 67% · base 54% · n=9 · -137 Betr Picks
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 62% · n=9 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 67% · base 46% · n=9 · +214 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 5 vs 2
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | -105 | +106 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
PrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs LAA — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Alejandro Osuna TEX | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jarren Duran BOS | 07/05 | 5 | ✓ |
| Willson Contreras BOS | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Masataka Yoshida BOS | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Tsung-Che Cheng BOS | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Ceddanne Rafaela BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Anthony Seigler BOS | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS