Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Elias Díaz

Texas Rangers · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.75
Edge
-0.2%
Last 20
25%5/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.90
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
30%
3/10
Avg0.77
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Elias Díaz clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 93% · base 80% · n=14 · -216 DraftKings
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 62% · n=9 · -161 DraftKings
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 55% · n=14 · -239 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
0vs PHI07/110vs PHI07/132@ WSH07/201vs NYM07/291vs STL08/012vs BAL09/030@ COL09/050vs CIN09/100@ NYM09/171vs AZ09/272@ NYY04/191vs LAA04/241@ OAK04/300vs CLE05/060@ CWS05/131vs BOS05/201vs CLE06/071@ BOS06/132@ CLE07/012vs DET07/021.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-130-102
Betr Picks0.5-137

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET9:38 AM ET
DraftKingsBetr Picks

League vs LAA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jake Burger TEX07/071
Alejandro Osuna TEX07/071
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Jarren Duran BOS07/052
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Willson Contreras BOS07/051
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
59.55-94.7856.1889.0990.2095.5495.7895.20
sluggingPercentage
.333.0002.000.000.636.7502.000.111.714
AVG
.333.000.500.000.273.417.500.111.571
OPS
.667.0002.500.000.9091.0772.500.2221.286
onBasePercentage
.333.000.500.000.273.385.500.111.571