Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Elias Díaz

Texas Rangers · C · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.75
Edge
-0.2%
All 6 games
67%4/6 over 0.5
Window avg
0.83
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
67%
4/6
L20
67%
4/6
2026
100%
2/2
Avg0.83
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: Walbert Ureña (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Changeup
32.7%
90.4.188.43823.1%
Sinker
31.6%
97.5.167.41715.6%
Four-seam FB
19.9%
97.4.267.40028.0%
Sweeper
15.8%
86.2
Fastball
0.1%
84.7

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Elias Díaz clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 93% · base 80% · n=14 · -145 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Batter Strikeouts
hits when he does 67% · base 54% · n=9 · -137 Betr Picks
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 62% · n=9 · -137 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Osuna o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 67% · base 46% · n=9 · +214 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitsall 6 games vs 0.5

vs LAA only · official box scores
1@ LAA07/301@ LAA07/310vs LAA05/120vs LAA05/131vs LAA04/242vs LAA07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-130-102
Betr Picks0.5-137-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5-120+120

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs

League vs LAA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jake Burger TEX07/071
Alejandro Osuna TEX07/071
Nicky Lopez TEX07/071
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/071
Josh Smith TEX07/071
Evan Carter TEX07/070
Joc Pederson TEX07/070
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/070
Masataka Yoshida BOS07/053
Tsung-Che Cheng BOS07/052
Jarren Duran BOS07/052
Anthony Seigler BOS07/051
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS07/051
Willson Contreras BOS07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.333.0002.000.333.636.7692.000.111.625
Exit Velo
59.55-94.7882.1089.0991.4495.5495.7892.68
AVG
.333.000.500.333.273.462.500.111.500
onBasePercentage
.333.000.500.333.273.429.500.111.500
OPS
.667.0002.500.667.9091.1432.500.2221.125