Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Ty France

San Diego Padres · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.30
Edge
-12.8%
Last 20
0%0/18 over 2 · 2 push
Window avg
0.35
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/18
2026
2%
1/58
Avg0.35
StreakL10

Tonight's matchup: Jose Cabrera (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
28.8%
89.6.083.33336.4%
Four-seam FB
26.8%
93.4.208.39635.3%
Sweeper
16.1%
83.4.231.38522.6%
Curveball
12.7%
86.3.375.50031.0%
Changeup
7.8%
86.7.440.68034.9%
Sinker
7.8%
93.0.214.40514.9%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Ty France clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Manny Machado o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 59% · n=14 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Manny Machado o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 64% · base 44% · n=14 · +141 dabble_us_dfs
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 56% · n=14 · -148 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 2

official box scores
1@ BAL06/120@ STL06/150@ STL06/160@ STL06/172@ TEX06/190@ TEX06/200@ TEX06/210vs ATL06/220vs ATL06/232vs ATL06/241vs LAD06/260vs LAD06/280@ CHC06/291@ CHC06/300@ CHC07/010@ LAD07/020@ LAD07/030@ LAD07/040@ LAD07/050vs AZ07/062

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+158-156

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs AZ Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jackson Merrill SD07/071
Jake Cronenworth SD07/071
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD07/071
Gavin Sheets SD07/071
Sung-Mun Song SD07/070
Manny Machado SD07/070
Luis Campusano SD07/070
Xander Bogaerts SD07/070
Samad Taylor SD07/070
Jake Cronenworth SD07/060
Sung-Mun Song SD07/060
Jackson Merrill SD07/060
Rodolfo Durán SD07/060
Samad Taylor SD07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.100.091.273.333.333.059.500.520.267
Exit Velo
76.2685.5890.5985.9998.1791.85100.3495.6195.65
AVG
.100.091.273.333.333.059.500.520.286
sluggingPercentage
.300.227.636.333.708.059.900.960.571
OPS
.400.318.909.6671.042.1181.4001.480.800