Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Mitch Garver

Seattle Mariners · DH · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.52
Edge
-15.5%
Last 20
27%3/11 over 1 · 9 push
Window avg
0.75
Median
1.0
L5
33%
1/3
L10
40%
2/5
L20
27%
3/11
2026
29%
2/7
Avg0.69
Streak

Parlay pairs — when Mitch Garver clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Josh Naylor o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 74% · n=27 · -258 DraftKings
George Kirby o5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 69% · base 53% · n=16 · +122 FanDuel

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
0vs OAK08/242@ ATL09/071vs LAD09/280@ DET10/070@ DET10/081@ TOR10/130@ LAA04/051@ TEX04/081vs HOU04/130vs TEX04/191vs OAK04/222@ STL04/250@ STL04/261@ HOU05/141@ KC05/242@ WSH06/130vs BAL06/180@ PIT06/251@ CLE06/281vs TOR07/051

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-152+114

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Randy Arozarena SEA07/072
Cal Raleigh SEA07/072
Luke Raley SEA07/071
J.P. Crawford SEA07/071
Cole Young SEA07/071
Josh Naylor SEA07/071
Colt Emerson SEA07/070
Dominic Canzone SEA07/070
Victor Robles SEA07/070
Jonah Heim OAK07/052
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/051
Carlos Cortes OAK07/051
Brian Serven OAK07/051
Lawrence Butler OAK07/051