Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.52
Edge
-15.5%Last 5
80%4/5 over 0.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
50%
10/20
2026
57%
8/14
Avg0.69
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 25.2% | 95.8 | .227 | .364 | 8.8% |
| Sweeper | 24.1% | 84.2 | .250 | .375 | 47.1% |
| Splitter | 24.0% | 87.4 | — | — | — |
| Curveball | 16.5% | 83.6 | — | — | — |
| Four-seam FB | 9.1% | 96.3 | .205 | .359 | 24.7% |
| Slider | 1.1% | 88.7 | .125 | .313 | 63.6% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Mitch Garver clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Josh Naylor o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 74% · n=27 · -233 dabble_us_dfs
George Kirby o5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 69% · base 53% · n=16 · +145 dabble_us_dfs
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 63% · n=92 · -169 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 5 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs MIA — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Cal Raleigh SEA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Randy Arozarena SEA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| J.P. Crawford SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Naylor SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cole Young SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luke Raley SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dominic Canzone SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colt Emerson SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Victor Robles SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Brian Serven OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Lawrence Butler OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS