Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.26
Edge
-6.8%Last 20
12%2/17 over 1 · 3 push
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
13%
1/8
L20
12%
2/17
2026
6%
4/67
Avg0.37
StreakL4
Tonight's matchup: Troy Melton (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.4% | 96.0 | .237 | .289 | 16.7% |
| Slider | 19.1% | 86.1 | .100 | .100 | 21.2% |
| Cutter | 18.8% | 91.6 | .421 | .579 | 21.6% |
| Splitter | 8.9% | 88.4 | .174 | .217 | 17.5% |
| Sinker | 8.4% | 95.3 | .224 | .265 | 4.3% |
| Curveball | 6.3% | 77.8 | .375 | .375 | 18.2% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jeff McNeil clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 83% · base 50% · n=18 · +104 dabble_us_dfs
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 66% · n=18 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Henry Bolte o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 70% · n=9 · -147 dabble_us_dfs
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 70% · n=17 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +238 | -233 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs DET — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 4/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Henry Bolte OAK | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Nick Kurtz OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Muncy OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colby Thomas OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Wilson OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Shea Langeliers OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS