Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jeff McNeil

Oakland Athletics · 2B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.58
Edge
-10.4%
Last 5
60%3/5 over 0.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
3/5
L20
60%
3/5
2026
Avg1.20
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Troy Melton (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
38.4%
96.0.237.28916.7%
Slider
19.1%
86.1.100.10021.2%
Cutter
18.8%
91.6.421.57921.6%
Splitter
8.9%
88.4.174.21717.5%
Sinker
8.4%
95.3.224.2654.3%
Curveball
6.3%
77.8.375.37518.2%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Jeff McNeil clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Henry Bolte o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 80% · base 70% · n=15 · -147 dabble_us_dfs
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 66% · n=40 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 70% · n=39 · -185 dabble_us_dfs
Carlos Cortes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 58% · n=32 · -135 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

vs DET only · official box scores
0vs DET04/010vs DET04/042@ DET09/013@ DET09/021@ DET09/030.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-140+106
dabble_us_dfs0.5-128+130

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs DET Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/073
Shea Langeliers OAK07/071
Zack Gelof OAK07/071
Jonah Heim OAK07/071
Henry Bolte OAK07/071
Colby Thomas OAK07/070
Jacob Wilson OAK07/070
Max Muncy OAK07/070
Nick Kurtz OAK07/070
Josh Smith TEX07/051
Jake Burger TEX07/051
Nicky Lopez TEX07/051
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/051
Joc Pederson TEX07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.125.333.286.282.306.385.136.219.231
AVG
.125.333.286.282.314.385.143.219.231
Exit Velo
91.7986.9165.2890.7789.2878.0591.7091.9986.48
sluggingPercentage
.125.400.429.385.400.615.143.281.308
OPS
.250.733.714.667.6941.000.273.500.538