Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Dominic Canzone

Seattle Mariners · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.42
Edge
-11.1%
Trending splitsvs LHP 12%(17)
Last 20
40%8/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.50
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
35%
19/55
Avg0.31
StreakL3

Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
25.2%
95.8.241.37919.1%
Sweeper
24.1%
84.2.000.00030.0%
Splitter
24.0%
87.4.308.53839.3%
Curveball
16.5%
83.6.250.65036.1%
Four-seam FB
9.1%
96.3.313.65619.5%
Slider
1.1%
88.7.286.61950.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Dominic Canzone clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Cole Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 63% · n=46 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 63% · base 50% · n=54 · +106 dabble_us_dfs
Mitch Garver o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 45% · n=30 · -152 DraftKings
George Kirby o5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 60% · base 47% · n=15 · +145 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs AZ05/300vs NYM06/012vs NYM06/020@ DET06/051@ BAL06/080@ BAL06/090@ BAL06/101@ BAL06/112@ WSH06/120vs BAL06/161vs BAL06/170vs BOS06/190vs BOS06/200@ PIT06/240@ CLE06/261@ CLE06/271vs LAA06/290vs LAA07/020vs TOR07/030@ MIA07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick60.5-137
Betr Picks0.5-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+120-120

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.511:15 AM ET11:15 AM ET
dabble_us_dfsBetr PicksDK Pick6

League vs MIA Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Cal Raleigh SEA07/071
J.P. Crawford SEA07/071
Randy Arozarena SEA07/071
Josh Naylor SEA07/071
Cole Young SEA07/071
Colt Emerson SEA07/070
Luke Raley SEA07/070
Victor Robles SEA07/070
Lawrence Butler OAK07/052
Max Muncy OAK07/052
Carlos Cortes OAK07/051
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/051
Zack Gelof OAK07/051
Jonah Heim OAK07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.357.444.222.300.278.353.250.278.438
AVG
.357.438.222.300.278.353.267.278.438
Exit Velo
96.3194.25100.1394.1497.1098.3489.76100.7395.29
sluggingPercentage
1.143.625.444.3501.111.941.467.2781.125
OPS
1.5001.000.667.6501.3891.294.688.5561.563