Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.19
Edge
+0.1%Last 30
30%9/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.30
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
16%
13/79
Avg0.14
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 25.2% | 95.8 | .241 | .379 | 19.1% |
| Sweeper | 24.1% | 84.2 | .000 | .000 | 30.0% |
| Splitter | 24.0% | 87.4 | .308 | .538 | 39.3% |
| Curveball | 16.5% | 83.6 | .250 | .650 | 36.1% |
| Four-seam FB | 9.1% | 96.3 | .313 | .656 | 19.5% |
| Slider | 1.1% | 88.7 | .286 | .619 | 50.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Dominic Canzone clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Cole Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 63% · n=19 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
Luke Raley o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 46% · n=20 · -132 dabble_us_dfs
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 63% · base 50% · n=19 · +106 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — last 30 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +478 | -476 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs MIA — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 2/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Cole Young SEA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Colt Emerson SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luke Raley SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cal Raleigh SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Josh Naylor SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Randy Arozarena SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Victor Robles SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| J.P. Crawford SEA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Kurtz OAK | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brian Serven OAK | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Lawrence Butler OAK | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Muncy OAK | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS