Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Dominic Canzone

Seattle Mariners · LF · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.66
Edge
-17.8%
Last 20
20%4/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.20
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
18%
3/17
Avg0.28
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Tyler Phillips (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
25.2%
95.8.241.37919.1%
Sweeper
24.1%
84.2.000.00030.0%
Splitter
24.0%
87.4.308.53839.3%
Curveball
16.5%
83.6.250.65036.1%
Four-seam FB
9.1%
96.3.313.65619.5%
Slider
1.1%
88.7.286.61950.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Dominic Canzone clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Cole Young o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 63% · n=75 · -179 dabble_us_dfs
George Kirby o5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 61% · base 47% · n=28 · +145 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs STL09/090@ KC09/171@ HOU09/200vs CLE03/280vs NYY03/300vs OAK04/211@ STL04/250vs KC05/010vs KC05/030vs ATL05/060vs CWS05/180vs CWS05/190@ KC05/220@ DET06/050@ BAL06/091@ WSH06/140vs BOS06/190vs BOS06/201vs BOS06/210@ CLE06/260.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-238+176
dabble_us_dfs1.5+243-238

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.51.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs MIA Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 12/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Cal Raleigh SEA07/072
Randy Arozarena SEA07/072
Cole Young SEA07/071
Josh Naylor SEA07/071
Luke Raley SEA07/071
J.P. Crawford SEA07/071
Victor Robles SEA07/070
Colt Emerson SEA07/070
Jonah Heim OAK07/052
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/051
Carlos Cortes OAK07/051
Zack Gelof OAK07/051
Lawrence Butler OAK07/051
Brian Serven OAK07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.357.444.222.300.278.353.250.278.438
AVG
.357.438.222.300.278.353.267.278.438
Exit Velo
96.3194.25100.1394.1497.1098.3489.76100.7395.29
sluggingPercentage
1.143.625.444.3501.111.941.467.2781.125
OPS
1.5001.000.667.6501.3891.294.688.5561.563