Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Isaac Paredes

Houston Astros · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.45
Edge
Last 10
0%0/9 over 2 · 1 push
Window avg
0.60
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/9
L20
0%
0/19
2026
1%
1/81
Avg0.45
StreakL8

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.409.72712.5%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.217.41312.3%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.222.38927.8%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.100.20025.0%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.273.42424.4%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.379.5767.1%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.200.20026.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Isaac Paredes clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=62 · -240 DraftKings
Christian Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=70 · -206 DraftKings
Spencer Arrighetti o15.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 67% · base 60% · n=9 · -111 DraftKings
Spencer Arrighetti o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 67% · base 60% · n=9 · -131 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 10 vs 2

official box scores
1@ DET06/272@ DET06/281vs MIN06/290vs MIN06/300vs MIN07/010vs TB07/030vs TB07/041vs TB07/051@ WSH07/060@ WSH07/072

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks0.5-137

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Zach Dezenzo HOU07/072
Christian Walker HOU07/072
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Nick Allen HOU07/070
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Jose Altuve HOU07/061
LaMonte Wade Jr. HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.143.296.240.231.323.300.300.190.342
Exit Velo
78.3491.2490.6081.6792.5790.6685.6385.4387.90
AVG
.143.296.250.231.323.300.300.200.342
sluggingPercentage
.429.667.292.308.710.475.700.350.526
OPS
.571.963.520.5381.032.7751.000.524.868