Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Isaac Paredes

Houston Astros · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.03
Edge
+2.6%
Last 10
30%3/10 over 1.5
Window avg
1.10
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
20%
17/87
Avg0.89
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.409.72712.5%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.217.41312.3%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.222.38927.8%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.100.20025.0%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.273.42424.4%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.379.5767.1%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.200.20026.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Isaac Paredes clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 64% · n=107 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Christian Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 61% · n=118 · -182 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 10 vs 1.5

official box scores
2@ DET06/273@ DET06/280vs MIN06/290vs MIN06/301vs MIN07/011vs TB07/031vs TB07/042vs TB07/050@ WSH07/061@ WSH07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-194+145
dabble_us_dfs0.5-167+168

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs WSH Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Christian Walker HOU07/071
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Christian Walker HOU07/062
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.143.296.240.231.323.300.300.190.342
Exit Velo
78.3491.2490.6081.6792.5790.6685.6385.4387.90
AVG
.143.296.250.231.323.300.300.200.342
sluggingPercentage
.429.667.292.308.710.475.700.350.526
OPS
.571.963.520.5381.032.7751.000.524.868