Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Isaac Paredes

Houston Astros · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.70
Edge
+6.7%
Last 5
80%4/5 over 0.5
Window avg
1.60
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
80%
16/20
2026
66%
57/87
Avg1.51
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.409.72712.5%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.217.41312.3%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.222.38927.8%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.100.20025.0%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.273.42424.4%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.379.5767.1%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.200.20026.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Isaac Paredes clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Christian Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=74 · -182 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 5 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs TB07/031vs TB07/045vs TB07/050@ WSH07/061@ WSH07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+141-189
Bovada1.5+145-190
dabble_us_dfs1.5+163-161

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfs

League vs WSH Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jose Altuve HOU07/074
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Christian Walker HOU07/071
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Brice Matthews HOU07/065
Yainer Diaz HOU07/065
Jose Altuve HOU07/064
Braden Shewmake HOU07/063
Christian Walker HOU07/063
Cam Smith HOU07/062

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.143.296.240.231.323.300.300.190.342
Exit Velo
78.3491.2490.6081.6792.5790.6685.6385.4387.90
AVG
.143.296.250.231.323.300.300.200.342
sluggingPercentage
.429.667.292.308.710.475.700.350.526
OPS
.571.963.520.5381.032.7751.000.524.868