Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Isaac Paredes

Houston Astros · 3B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.70
Edge
+6.7%
All 79 games
44%35/79 over 1.5
Window avg
1.65
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
39%
9/23
Avg1.65
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.409.72712.5%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.217.41312.3%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.222.38927.8%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.100.20025.0%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.273.42424.4%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.379.5767.1%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.200.20026.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Isaac Paredes clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Christian Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=74 · -182 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Basesall 79 games vs 1.5

official box scores
5@ LAA06/200vs PHI06/240vs PHI06/262@ COL07/023@ COL07/030vs CLE07/080@ OAK09/230vs LAA03/272vs LAA03/281vs BOS03/302vs BOS04/011@ COL04/070vs COL04/151vs STL04/191@ CLE04/211vs NYY04/252@ BOS05/012@ BOS05/022@ BOS05/032@ CIN05/081@ CIN05/101@ MIN05/182@ CHC05/240vs OAK06/070@ LAA06/100@ KC06/132vs DET06/161vs CLE06/203@ DET06/271@ WSH07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+141-189
Bovada1.5+145-190
dabble_us_dfs1.5+163-161

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfs

League vs WSH Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jose Altuve HOU07/074
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Christian Walker HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Brice Matthews HOU07/065
Yainer Diaz HOU07/065
Jose Altuve HOU07/064
Christian Walker HOU07/063
Braden Shewmake HOU07/063
Cam Smith HOU07/062

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.143.296.240.231.323.300.300.190.342
Exit Velo
78.3491.2490.6081.6792.5790.6685.6385.4387.90
AVG
.143.296.250.231.323.300.300.200.342
sluggingPercentage
.429.667.292.308.710.475.700.350.526
OPS
.571.963.520.5381.032.7751.000.524.868