Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.45
Edge
-4.3%All 79 games
46%36/79 over 0.5
Window avg
0.54
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
25%
5/20
2026
26%
6/23
Avg0.54
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 32.1% | 88.1 | .409 | .727 | 12.5% |
| Four-seam FB | 17.1% | 91.5 | .217 | .413 | 12.3% |
| Sweeper | 14.5% | 79.8 | .222 | .389 | 27.8% |
| Curveball | 10.5% | 77.8 | .100 | .200 | 25.0% |
| Changeup | 10.4% | 82.4 | .273 | .424 | 24.4% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 91.2 | .379 | .576 | 7.1% |
| Splitter | 5.1% | 81.2 | .200 | .200 | 26.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Isaac Paredes clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=62 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Christian Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=70 · -182 dabble_us_dfs
Spencer Arrighetti o15.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 67% · base 60% · n=9 · -105 dabble_us_dfs
Spencer Arrighetti o4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts
hits when he does 67% · base 60% · n=9 · -109 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — all 79 games vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +146 | -145 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Betr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs WSH — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Christian Walker HOU | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Zach Dezenzo HOU | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Allen HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Christian Vázquez HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Yainer Diaz HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Braden Shewmake HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. HOU | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS