Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.78
Edge
+4.8%Last 20
40%8/20 over 1.5
Window avg
2.00
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
47%
16/34
Avg1.78
StreakW3
Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 32.1% | 88.1 | .226 | .355 | 26.9% |
| Four-seam FB | 17.1% | 91.5 | .214 | .488 | 26.2% |
| Sweeper | 14.5% | 79.8 | .321 | .536 | 41.7% |
| Curveball | 10.5% | 77.8 | .118 | .206 | 38.9% |
| Changeup | 10.4% | 82.4 | .250 | .500 | 35.7% |
| Sinker | 10.3% | 91.2 | .290 | .449 | 10.5% |
| Splitter | 5.1% | 81.2 | .167 | .667 | 27.3% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Christian Walker clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=70 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=68 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=88 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Cam Smith o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=85 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +134 | -179 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +135 | -180 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +138 | -137 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfsBetr Picks
League vs WSH — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Christian Vázquez HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Isaac Paredes HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nick Allen HOU | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Dezenzo HOU | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brice Matthews HOU | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Yainer Diaz HOU | 07/06 | 5 | ✓ |
| Jose Altuve HOU | 07/06 | 4 | ✓ |
| Braden Shewmake HOU | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Cam Smith HOU | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Yordan Alvarez HOU | 07/06 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS