Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Christian Walker

Houston Astros · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.59
Edge
-1.3%
Last 20
35%7/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
43%
40/92
Avg0.51
StreakW1

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.226.35526.9%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.214.48826.2%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.321.53641.7%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.118.20638.9%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.250.50035.7%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.290.44910.5%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.167.66727.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Christian Walker clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too

Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 65% · n=63 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 65% · n=69 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 66% · base 63% · n=83 · -227 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Runs Scoredlast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs DET06/150vs DET06/160vs DET06/171vs CLE06/190vs CLE06/200vs CLE06/210@ TOR06/220@ TOR06/230@ DET06/250@ DET06/261@ DET06/271@ DET06/280vs MIN06/290vs MIN06/300vs MIN07/010vs TB07/031vs TB07/041vs TB07/050@ WSH07/062@ WSH07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
DK Pick60.5-137
Betr Picks0.5-137
dabble_us_dfs0.5+119-118

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.59:38 AM ET11:15 AM ET
Betr PicksDK Pick6dabble_us_dfs

League vs WSH Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Zach Dezenzo HOU07/072
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Nick Allen HOU07/070
Isaac Paredes HOU07/070
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Jose Altuve HOU07/061
LaMonte Wade Jr. HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.750.522.500.719.804.581.273.735.208
Exit Velo
88.0291.4290.5389.6196.9492.8492.6690.3188.57
AVG
.300.261.125.344.412.290.182.294.208
onBasePercentage
.300.250.176.344.412.290.182.294.208
OPS
1.050.750.6471.0631.216.871.4551.029.417