Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Christian Walker

Houston Astros · 1B · Bats R

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.78
Edge
+4.8%
All 375 games
20%71/351 over 3 · 24 push
Window avg
1.69
Median
1.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
33%
3/9
L20
16%
3/19
2026
24%
20/85
Avg1.69
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.226.35526.9%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.214.48826.2%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.321.53641.7%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8.118.20638.9%
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.250.50035.7%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.290.44910.5%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2.167.66727.3%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Christian Walker clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Isaac Paredes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=70 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Yainer Diaz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 65% · n=68 · -196 dabble_us_dfs
Jose Altuve o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 63% · n=88 · -227 dabble_us_dfs
Cam Smith o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 54% · n=85 · -175 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Basesall 375 games vs 3

official box scores
1vs PIT06/043vs OAK06/053vs OAK06/060vs OAK06/073@ LAA06/080@ LAA06/092@ LAA06/104@ KC06/124@ KC06/131@ KC06/140vs DET06/151vs DET06/162vs DET06/170vs CLE06/190vs CLE06/201vs CLE06/210@ TOR06/220@ TOR06/231@ DET06/251@ DET06/266@ DET06/274@ DET06/280vs MIN06/291vs MIN06/300vs MIN07/010vs TB07/031vs TB07/044vs TB07/053@ WSH07/061@ WSH07/073

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+134-179
Betr Picks1.5-137
Bovada1.5+135-180
dabble_us_dfs1.5+138-137

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsBovadadabble_us_dfsBetr Picks

League vs WSH Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Jose Altuve HOU07/074
Nick Allen HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Yainer Diaz HOU07/065
Brice Matthews HOU07/065
Jose Altuve HOU07/064
Braden Shewmake HOU07/063
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

sluggingPercentage
.750.522.500.719.804.581.273.735.208
Exit Velo
88.0291.4290.5389.6196.9492.8492.6690.3188.57
AVG
.300.261.125.344.412.290.182.294.208
onBasePercentage
.300.250.176.344.412.290.182.294.208
OPS
1.050.750.6471.0631.216.871.4551.029.417