Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.40
Edge
-10.2%Last 20
20%4/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.35
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
38%
3/8
Avg0.51
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 45.0% | 95.4 | .286 | .429 | 28.0% |
| Curveball | 21.3% | 81.7 | .083 | .083 | 28.6% |
| Changeup | 10.2% | 86.7 | .429 | 1.286 | 47.4% |
| Slider | 9.5% | 85.8 | .400 | .600 | 48.1% |
| Cutter | 8.9% | 89.9 | .500 | 1.667 | 28.6% |
| Sinker | 5.1% | 95.2 | .250 | .300 | 20.6% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Jose Siri clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Vaughn Grissom o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 91% · base 65% · n=11 · -178 DraftKings
Jorge Soler o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 68% · n=9 · -130 DraftKings
Zach Neto o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 64% · n=17 · -169 dabble_us_dfs
Logan O'Hoppe o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 66% · n=16 · -129 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Hits
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 0.5 | +116 | -154 |
| PrizePicks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| DK Pick6 | 0.5 | -137 | — |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +117 | -116 |
Line movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsPrizePicksBetr PicksDK Pick6dabble_us_dfs
League vs TEX — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Wade Meckler LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Lowe LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nolan Schanuel LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Kevin McGonigle DET | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Outman DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Torkelson DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
OPS
AVG
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo