Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Tyler Freeman

Colorado Rockies · CF · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.82
Edge
-6.6%
Last 15
0%0/15 over 5.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/20
2026
0%
0/60
Avg0.83
StreakL279

Tonight's matchup: Roki Sasaki (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
43.2%
97.5.404.5449.1%
Splitter
24.3%
90.2
Slider
21.9%
86.6.310.48320.0%
Forkball
10.6%
85.2

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Tyler Freeman clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Cole Carrigg o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 82% · base 75% · n=11 · -154 dabble_us_dfs
Cole Carrigg o0.5 Runs Scored
hits when he does 82% · base 69% · n=11 · +168 dabble_us_dfs
TJ Rumfield o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 67% · n=40 · -154 dabble_us_dfs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 64% · n=104 · -175 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 15 vs 5.5

official box scores
1@ CHC06/171vs PIT06/191vs PIT06/213vs BOS06/220vs BOS06/232vs BOS06/240@ MIN06/262@ MIN06/270@ MIN06/280vs MIA06/301vs MIA07/011vs SF07/030vs SF07/042@ LAD07/061@ LAD07/075.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5-167+169

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs LAD Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Mickey Moniak COL07/072
TJ Rumfield COL07/071
Cole Carrigg COL07/071
Braxton Fulford COL07/071
Willi Castro COL07/070
Kyle Karros COL07/070
Ezequiel Tovar COL07/070
Jake McCarthy COL07/070
Cole Carrigg COL07/063
Kyle Karros COL07/061
Jake McCarthy COL07/061
Ezequiel Tovar COL07/061
Willi Castro COL07/061
TJ Rumfield COL07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.692.5331.200.069.8531.125.400.650.235
onBasePercentage
.231.267.600.034.353.438.200.300.118
AVG
.231.286.600.036.353.438.200.316.118
sluggingPercentage
.462.286.600.036.500.688.200.368.118
Exit Velo
77.1884.4997.8578.6990.9192.4886.2688.5186.09