Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Andrés Giménez

Toronto Blue Jays · 2B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.67
Edge
-4.0%
Last 20
20%4/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
20%
2/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
18%
15/85
Avg0.84
StreakL7

Tonight's matchup: Logan Webb (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Sinker
31.6%
92.2.289.35616.3%
Changeup
24.0%
86.1.200.30025.8%
Sweeper
19.2%
84.2.250.50026.7%
Four-seam FB
13.2%
92.4.244.43925.3%
Cutter
12.0%
89.9.263.42123.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Andrés Giménez clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 65% · n=106 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 64% · base 59% · n=67 · -172 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
1vs NYY06/121vs NYY06/132@ BOS06/162@ BOS06/170@ BOS06/181@ CHC06/191@ CHC06/201vs HOU06/221vs HOU06/230vs HOU06/240vs TEX06/252vs TEX06/262vs TEX06/271vs TEX06/280vs NYM06/300vs NYM07/011@ SEA07/030@ SEA07/040@ SF07/061@ SF07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-130-102
dabble_us_dfs0.5-120+122

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs SF Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jonatan Clase TOR07/072
Ernie Clement TOR07/072
Sean Keys TOR07/072
Brandon Valenzuela TOR07/072
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/071
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/071
Nathan Lukes TOR07/070
Daulton Varsho TOR07/070
Nathan Lukes TOR07/061
Ernie Clement TOR07/061
Kazuma Okamoto TOR07/061
Alejandro Kirk TOR07/060
Myles Straw TOR07/060
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

OPS
.545.588.800.875.4411.040.375.5791.211
AVG
.200.200.400.333.206.360.167.211.421
onBasePercentage
.273.176.400.313.206.360.167.211.421
sluggingPercentage
.300.467.400.600.235.680.208.368.789
Exit Velo
81.7086.2076.1993.8289.0184.1384.6691.2492.58