Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.56
Edge
-2.4%All 175 games
38%67/175 over 1.5
Window avg
1.76
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
2026
50%
20/40
Avg1.76
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Troy Melton (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.4% | 96.0 | .232 | .549 | 29.1% |
| Slider | 19.1% | 86.1 | .283 | .400 | 29.2% |
| Cutter | 18.8% | 91.6 | .304 | .478 | 33.3% |
| Splitter | 8.9% | 88.4 | .333 | .917 | 37.5% |
| Sinker | 8.4% | 95.3 | .293 | .534 | 10.6% |
| Curveball | 6.3% | 77.8 | .391 | .696 | 37.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Shea Langeliers clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Henry Bolte o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 79% · base 70% · n=14 · -147 dabble_us_dfs
Jonah Heim o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 67% · n=18 · -190 DraftKings
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 64% · n=78 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Jacob Wilson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 71% · n=71 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — all 175 games vs 1.5
home only · official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.5 | +122 | -163 |
| Betr Picks | 1.5 | -137 | — |
| dabble_us_dfs | 1.5 | +133 | -132 |
| Bovada | 1.5 | +120 | -160 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovadaBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs DET — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Henry Bolte OAK | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| Jacob Wilson OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Muncy OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colby Thomas OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Kurtz OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/05 | 4 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS