Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.02
Edge
+1.6%Last 15
80%4/5 over 1 · 10 push
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
50%
1/2
L10
67%
2/3
L20
83%
5/6
2026
50%
14/28
Avg0.81
Streak—
Tonight's matchup: Troy Melton (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.4% | 96.0 | .238 | .540 | 32.8% |
| Slider | 19.1% | 86.1 | .235 | .412 | 14.3% |
| Cutter | 18.8% | 91.6 | .556 | 1.222 | 32.1% |
| Splitter | 8.9% | 88.4 | .429 | .857 | 43.8% |
| Sinker | 8.4% | 95.3 | .340 | .360 | 14.4% |
| Curveball | 6.3% | 77.8 | .125 | .250 | 56.5% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Zack Gelof clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Henry Bolte o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 68% · n=31 · -147 dabble_us_dfs
Jacob Wilson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 70% · n=48 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 15 vs 1
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs DET — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Shea Langeliers OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Henry Bolte OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jacob Wilson OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colby Thomas OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Kurtz OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Muncy OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS