Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Zack Gelof

Oakland Athletics · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.02
Edge
+1.6%
Last 5
60%3/5 over 0.5
Window avg
1.00
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
70%
7/10
2026
100%
1/1
Avg1.20
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: Troy Melton (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
38.4%
96.0.238.54032.8%
Slider
19.1%
86.1.235.41214.3%
Cutter
18.8%
91.6.5561.22232.1%
Splitter
8.9%
88.4.429.85743.8%
Sinker
8.4%
95.3.340.36014.4%
Curveball
6.3%
77.8.125.25056.5%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Zack Gelof clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Henry Bolte o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 77% · base 68% · n=31 · -153 DraftKings
Jacob Wilson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 70% · n=48 · -240 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

vs DET only · official box scores
2vs DET09/080vs DET08/250vs DET08/262vs DET08/271@ DET07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-198+148

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs DET Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK07/073
Shea Langeliers OAK07/071
Henry Bolte OAK07/071
Jonah Heim OAK07/071
Colby Thomas OAK07/070
Max Muncy OAK07/070
Jacob Wilson OAK07/070
Nick Kurtz OAK07/070
Joc Pederson TEX07/051
Brandon Nimmo TEX07/051
Josh Smith TEX07/051
Nicky Lopez TEX07/051
Jake Burger TEX07/051
Ezequiel Duran TEX07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.231.333.250.150.211.346.308.481.379
Exit Velo
84.1089.3085.6180.0787.2792.2389.6693.8691.94
AVG
.231.333.250.150.222.346.308.481.357
sluggingPercentage
.231.583.750.150.611.692.846.815.429
OPS
.462.9171.000.300.7891.0381.1541.296.793