Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nick Allen

Houston Astros · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.74
Edge
+0.5%
Trending splitsvs LHP 14%(7)
Last 20
5%1/20 over 3
Window avg
0.90
Median
0.5
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
3%
1/33
Avg0.72
StreakL18

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.286.28621.4%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.212.33330.1%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.000.00033.3%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.429.71436.4%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.231.2314.3%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Nick Allen clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Cam Smith o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 64% · n=15 · -179 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 3

official box scores
1vs TEX05/176@ CHC05/242@ TEX05/250@ TEX05/260@ TEX05/280vs MIL05/290vs MIL05/300vs MIL05/312vs PIT06/031vs PIT06/040vs OAK06/050vs OAK06/061vs OAK06/071vs MIN06/290vs MIN06/301vs MIN07/010vs TB07/032vs TB07/040vs TB07/051@ WSH07/073

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
PrizePicks0.5-137-137
Betr Picks0.5-137

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.59:38 AM ET9:38 AM ET
PrizePicksBetr Picks

League vs WSH Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jose Altuve HOU07/074
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Christian Walker HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/071
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Brice Matthews HOU07/065
Yainer Diaz HOU07/065
Jose Altuve HOU07/064
Christian Walker HOU07/063
Braden Shewmake HOU07/063
Cam Smith HOU07/062

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.286.167.250.333.143.250.000.375.400
sluggingPercentage
.714.167.250.444.154.500.000.375.444
AVG
.286.167.250.333.154.250.000.375.333
OPS
1.000.333.500.778.286.750.000.750.800
Exit Velo
72.8383.5293.3989.8279.6878.3091.0597.5773.83