Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nick Allen

Houston Astros · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.33
Edge
-3.0%
All 199 games
4%8/199 over 1.5
Window avg
0.25
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
15%
5/34
Avg0.25
StreakL2

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.286.28621.4%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.212.33330.1%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.000.00033.3%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.429.71436.4%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.231.2314.3%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Runs Scoredall 199 games vs 1.5

official box scores
2@ OAK04/050@ SEA04/110@ SEA04/120@ SEA04/130vs COL04/150vs STL04/170vs LAD05/050vs LAD05/061@ CIN05/080@ CIN05/100vs TEX05/172@ CHC05/241@ TEX05/250@ TEX05/260@ TEX05/280vs MIL05/290vs MIL05/300vs MIL05/312vs PIT06/030vs PIT06/040vs OAK06/050vs OAK06/060vs OAK06/070vs MIN06/290vs MIN06/300vs MIN07/010vs TB07/032vs TB07/040vs TB07/050@ WSH07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Runs Scored

BookLineOverUnder
dabble_us_dfs0.5+226-222

Line movement — Runs Scored

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs WSH Runs Scored, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Zach Dezenzo HOU07/072
Christian Walker HOU07/072
Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/070
Isaac Paredes HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Isaac Paredes HOU07/061
Jose Altuve HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.286.167.250.333.143.250.000.375.400
sluggingPercentage
.714.167.250.444.154.500.000.375.444
AVG
.286.167.250.333.154.250.000.375.333
OPS
1.000.333.500.778.286.750.000.750.800
Exit Velo
72.8383.5293.3989.8279.6878.3091.0597.5773.83