Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Nick Allen

Houston Astros · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.59
Edge
-10.6%
Last 5
40%2/5 over 0.5
Window avg
0.40
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
31%
8/26
Avg0.55
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Foster Griffin (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Cutter
32.1%
88.1.286.28621.4%
Four-seam FB
17.1%
91.5.212.33330.1%
Sweeper
14.5%
79.8.000.00033.3%
Curveball
10.5%
77.8
Changeup
10.4%
82.4.429.71436.4%
Sinker
10.3%
91.2.231.2314.3%
Splitter
5.1%
81.2

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Nick Allen clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Cam Smith o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 64% · n=15 · -175 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 5 vs 0.5

official box scores
0vs MIN06/301vs MIN07/010vs TB07/031vs TB07/040vs TB07/050.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-145+109
dabble_us_dfs0.5-120+121

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs WSH Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Brice Matthews HOU07/071
Christian Vázquez HOU07/071
Isaac Paredes HOU07/071
Christian Walker HOU07/071
Jose Altuve HOU07/071
Zach Dezenzo HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/070
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/070
Cam Smith HOU07/062
Brice Matthews HOU07/062
Christian Walker HOU07/062
Braden Shewmake HOU07/062
Yainer Diaz HOU07/062
Yordan Alvarez HOU07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.286.167.250.333.143.250.000.375.400
sluggingPercentage
.714.167.250.444.154.500.000.375.444
AVG
.286.167.250.333.154.250.000.375.333
OPS
1.000.333.500.778.286.750.000.750.800
Exit Velo
72.8383.5293.3989.8279.6878.3091.0597.5773.83