Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.03
Edge
-9.1%All 346 games
12%43/346 over 0.5
Window avg
0.14
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
6%
5/78
Avg0.14
StreakL15
Tonight's matchup: Troy Melton (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.4% | 96.0 | .206 | .338 | 33.0% |
| Slider | 19.1% | 86.1 | .294 | .706 | 28.2% |
| Cutter | 18.8% | 91.6 | .222 | .444 | 27.5% |
| Splitter | 8.9% | 88.4 | .000 | .000 | 40.0% |
| Sinker | 8.4% | 95.3 | .195 | .220 | 18.6% |
| Curveball | 6.3% | 77.8 | .077 | .077 | 35.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Lawrence Butler clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too
Carlos Cortes o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 58% · n=10 · -135 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Home Runs — all 346 games vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +755 | -714 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs DET — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Henry Bolte OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nick Kurtz OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colby Thomas OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Shea Langeliers OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Muncy OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Wilson OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Cam Cauley TEX | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Evan Carter TEX | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nicky Lopez TEX | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS