Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.54
Edge
-18.6%Last 30
50%15/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.73
Median
0.5
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
55%
11/20
2026
44%
34/78
Avg0.83
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: Troy Melton (RHP)
Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 38.4% | 96.0 | .206 | .338 | 33.0% |
| Slider | 19.1% | 86.1 | .294 | .706 | 28.2% |
| Cutter | 18.8% | 91.6 | .222 | .444 | 27.5% |
| Splitter | 8.9% | 88.4 | .000 | .000 | 40.0% |
| Sinker | 8.4% | 95.3 | .195 | .220 | 18.6% |
| Curveball | 6.3% | 77.8 | .077 | .077 | 35.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Lawrence Butler clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Jacob Wilson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 70% · n=118 · -213 dabble_us_dfs
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 68% · n=94 · -175 dabble_us_dfs
Jonah Heim o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 64% · n=22 · -190 DraftKings
Jeffrey Springs o15.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 68% · base 57% · n=25 · +112 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 30 vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs DET — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer OAK | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Shea Langeliers OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zack Gelof OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Henry Bolte OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jonah Heim OAK | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Colby Thomas OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jacob Wilson OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Max Muncy OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nick Kurtz OAK | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Brandon Nimmo TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Joc Pederson TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jake Burger TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Smith TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Ezequiel Duran TEX | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
AVG
Exit Velo
sluggingPercentage
OPS