Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.47
Edge
-1.3%Last 20
40%8/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.55
Median
0.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
34%
30/89
Avg0.54
StreakW2
Tonight's matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitter | 39.4% | 82.5 | .200 | .200 | 46.2% |
| Four-seam FB | 21.3% | 93.5 | .189 | .288 | 5.8% |
| Sinker | 16.9% | 92.3 | .259 | .341 | 2.9% |
| Curveball | 14.2% | 77.2 | .190 | .286 | 14.3% |
| Cutter | 5.5% | 86.8 | .348 | .435 | 15.2% |
| Slider | 2.8% | 83.4 | .260 | .360 | 19.8% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Nico Hoerner clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 67% · n=142 · -183 DraftKings
Carson Kelly o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 57% · n=71 · -156 dabble_us_dfs
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 69% · base 61% · n=163 · -147 DraftKings
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 62% · n=146 · -222 BetOnline
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +160 | -159 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs BAL — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Miguel Amaya CHC | 07/07 | 3 | ✓ |
| Dansby Swanson CHC | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Michael Busch CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Ian Happ CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Seiya Suzuki CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Alex Bregman CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Michael Conforto CHC | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Eugenio Suárez CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Steer CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Edwin Arroyo CIN | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Sal Stewart CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Tyler Stephenson CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Elly De La Cruz CIN | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
onBasePercentage
OPS